Peter C. Earle

Economics

Business Conditions Monthly June 2025

AIER’s Business Conditions Monthly indicators for June 2025 point to a sharper divergence in the US outlook. The Leading Indicator…

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Economics

AIER’s Everyday Price Index Notches a Slight 0.10% Gain in July 2025

In July 2025 the AIER Everyday Price Index (EPI) rose to 296.1, a rise of 0.10 percent. This is the…

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Economics

Trump’s 39% Tariff on Gold: Revenue Grab or Prelude to Revaluation?

In the early hours of trading on Friday, August 8, 2025, global markets were shaken by the announcement of a…

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Economics

How Unusual Was July’s Jobs Report Revision? Here’s What My Analysis Found

The week of July 28 to August 1, 2025, was packed with major economic data releases. In addition to the…

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Economics

Wall Street Isn’t Daycare: Interns Meet the Real World

In recent years, a chorus of complaints has emerged from Millennial and Gen-Z interns and junior analysts about the allegedly…

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Economics

Business Conditions Monthly May 2025

AIER’s Business Conditions Monthly indicators for May 2025 point to tentative stabilization in the US economy, though underlying signals remain…

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Economics

No, We Weren’t Ripped Off: Debunking the Myth of Trade Victimhood

By any serious measure, and certainly by every economic metric, the claim that the United States has been “ripped off”…

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Economics

AIER’s Everyday Price Index Jumps 0.51 percent in June 2025

AIER’s Everyday Price Index (EPI) rose to 295.8 in June 2025, an increase of 0.51 percent. June was the first…

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Economics

Your Favorite Chicken Sandwich Shows How Markets Iterate

Critics often scoff at the market economists’ claim that competition fosters relentless innovation. A recent meme points to the ubiquity…

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Economics

Why Trump’s Copper Tariffs Will Hurt US Industry — and Help China

The Trump administration’s surprise announcement of a 50 percent tariff on copper imports has sent shockwaves through global commodity markets,…

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