Peter C. Earle

Economics

Tariffs Instead of Taxes? A Back-of-Envelope Estimate

In an April 27 post on Truth Social, President Trump floated a politically ambitious idea: replacing federal income taxes —…

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Economics

Why Home Prices Are Cratering in Florida

Florida’s housing market has moved decisively from scorching-hot to increasingly fragile. After experiencing some of the nation’s steepest home price…

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Economics

Turning Treasury Securities into Century Bonds Is a Dead End

In times of rising debt and fiscal strain, unconventional ideas occasionally surface as ways to manage the US government’s borrowing…

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Economics

Business Conditions Monthly February 2025

In February 2025, the AIER Business Conditions Monthly indicators painted a picture of a moderately slowing but still resilient US…

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Economics

Credit Markets on Edge as Tariff Pressure Builds

Credit markets are becoming increasingly vulnerable to fallout from the emerging trade war. While the media will continue to focus…

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Economics

AIER’s Everyday Price Index Climbs Slightly in March 2025

The Everyday Price Index (EPI) rose 0.18 percent in March 2025, bringing the index to 292.9. The March increase brings…

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Economics

Unpacking the Assumptions Behind the Mar-a-Lago Accord

The high degree of focus on tariffs under the new Trump administration has led to a flurry of new analyses…

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Economics

Contra Bessent, Affordability Contributes to American Greatness

In a recent defense of proposed tariffs, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent declared that “access to cheap goods is not…

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Economics

The Dollar Milkshake Theory, Explained

The Dollar Milkshake Theory, a growing topic of debate on YouTube, Reddit, and other social platforms, claims to offer a…

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Economics

The Economics of the Minimum Wage: Myths, Facts, and Consequences

This explainer offers a comprehensive analysis of the minimum wage, exploring its history, mechanics, intended goals, and real-world economic impact.

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